Aslan Karatsev vs Yan Bai Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
A. Karatsev vs Y. Bai

Aslan Karatsev

RUS

1

Win

Played

0

Win

Age

6'1" (185 cm)

Height

6'1" (185 cm)

378

C. Rank

484

Best Rank

200

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$3.8M

Career Money

$53.5K

Right-Handed

Plays

Right-Handed

Yan Bai

CHN

1

Win

Played

0

Win

Age

6'1" (185 cm)

Height

6'1" (185 cm)

378

C. Rank

484

Best Rank

200

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$3.8M

Career Money

$53.5K

Right-Handed

Plays

Right-Handed

Head-to-head: Karatsev 1 - 0 Bai

They have played 3 sets in total, with Aslan Karatsev winning 2 and Yan Bai winning 1. The last match between Aslan Karatsev and Yan Bai was at the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger, 07-01-2025, Round: R1, Surface: Hard, with Draw getting the victory 7-5 2-6 7-6(2).

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Karatsev	1
Bai	0

Last 1 H2H Matches:

(R1) Nonthaburi 2 Challenger(01-07-25)

Stats

Aslan Karatsev

Yan Bai

A. Karatsev vs Y. Bai H2H Profile

A. Karatsev	Stats	Y. Bai
$3,831,970	Career Prize Money	$53,505
58.30% (432-309)	Career Total W/L	64.95% (441-238)
1	Hard	0
17	Titles	29
1	Total H2H Matches	0
0% (0-0)	YTD Win/Loss	0% (0-0)

A. Karatsev vs Y. Bai Match Preview:

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Aslan Karatsev has won 42.31% of points on their second serve, while Yan Bai has won 37.33%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Aslan Karatsev, in recent form, has won 39.02% of their opponent's second serve points, while Yan Bai has won 46.85%. The same stats for first serve returns are 20.63% and 30.16% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Aslan Karatsev has saved 47.62% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Yan Bai has saved 53.00% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Aslan Karatsev has won 59.26% of matches played (W/L 16/11), with Yan Bai winning 69.05% (W/L 29/13) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Aslan Karatsev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 63% (W/L 176/104), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 29% (W/L 6/15). Yan Bai has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 63% (W/L 359/187), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 43% (W/L 3/4).
Player level: In the last year, Aslan Karatsev has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 61.54% of matches (W/L 16/10), where as Yan Bai has played most of their matches on the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 77.78% of matches (W/L 28/8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Aslan Karatsev winning 1 times and Yan Bai being victorious 0 times. They have played 3 sets in total, with Aslan Karatsev winning 2 and Yan Bai winning 1.
The last match between Aslan Karatsev and Yan Bai was at the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger, 07-01-2025, Round: R1, Surface: Hard, with Draw getting the victory 7-5 2-6 7-6(2).
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:44:15.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Aslan Karatsev has played against opponents with an average rank of 330.33 while Yan Bai has played against players with an average rank of 520.19.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Aslan Karatsev has won 50% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Yan Bai has won 40% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Aslan Karatsev has converted 33.33% of breakpoint opportunities, and Yan Bai has converted 37.93% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Aslan Karatsev vs Yan Bai Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

A. Karatsev vs Y. Bai H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

A. Karatsev	Stats	Y. Bai
1	H2H Matches Won	0
2	Sets Won	1
16	Games Won	17
3	Aces (Total)	4
2	Total Double Faults	5
2:44:15	Average Match Time	2:44:15
72% (81/112)	1st Serve %	59% (62/105)
62% (50/81)	1st Serve Win %	68% (42/62)
48% (15/31)	2nd Serve Win %	47% (20/43)
45% (5/11)	Break Pts Won %	55% (6/11)
41% (43/105)	Return Points Win %	42% (47/112)
100% (1/1)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	0% (0/1)
100% (1/1)	Deciding Set Win %	0% (0/1)
100% (1/1)	1st Set Won, Won Match	0% (0/0)
0% (0/1)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	0% (0/0)
0% (0/0)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	0% (0/1)

Recent Performance Stats

A. Karatsev Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger - 04-08-2025
R2 Federico CinaF. Cina	L	6-0 6-3	Stats
R1 Filip PieczonkaF. Pieczonka	W	6-7(4) 6-2 7-5	Stats
Porto Challenger - 28-07-2025
R1 Mikhail KukushkinM. Kukushkin	L	7-6(7) 6-4	Stats
Francavilla Challenger - 05-05-2025
R2 Elias YmerE. Ymer	L	7-5 6-0	Stats
R1 Stefano TravagliaS. Travaglia	W	6-2 7-5	Stats

View All

Y. Bai Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Shanghai Challenger - 01-09-2025
R1 Tsung-Hao HuangT. Huang	L	6-3 6-0	Stats
M15 Maanshan - 07-07-2025
R1 Aoran WangA. Wang	L	6-5 ret.	Stats
M15 Maanshan - 30-06-2025
QF Yaojie ZengY. Zeng	L	6-4 1-6 6-4	Stats
R2 Aoran WangA. Wang	W	7-5 6-4	Stats
R1 Wishaya TrongcharoenchaikulW. Trongcharoenchaikul	W	6-4 6-1	Stats

View All

A. Karatsev vs Y. Bai Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

A. Karatsev	Stats	Y. Bai
58.30% (432/309)	YTD Win/Loss	65.00% (442/238)
57.24% (1008/753)	Sets Win/Loss	63.76% (950/540)
52.68% (8901/7996)	Games Win/Loss	55.53% (7489/5998)
62.86% (176/104)	Hard Win/Loss	65.81% (360/187)
59.46% (154/105)	Clay Win/Loss	62.92% (56/33)
53.04% (96/85)	Indoor Hard W/L	62.16% (23/14)
28.57% (6/15)	Grass Win/Loss	42.86% (3/4)
0.32	Aces Per Game	0.23
2608	Aces Total	1494
0.28	Double Faults Per Game	0.14
2315	Total Double Faults	890
1:26:8	Average Match Time	1:3:6
492.26	Average Opponent Rank	563.6
61% (27025/44618)	1st Serve %	60% (17217/28499)
71% (19063/27025)	1st Serve Win %	68% (11768/17217)
50% (8872/17585)	2nd Serve Win %	51% (5736/11282)
42% (1930/4590)	Break Points Won % (Total)	45% (1526/3417)
40% (18002/45277)	Return Points Win %	43% (12768/29617)
56.60% (30/23)	Slam W/L	25.00% (2/6)
44.44% (20/25)	Masters W/L	25.00% (2/6)
0.00% (0/1)	Cups W/L	0.00% (0/1)
52.48% (74/67)	Main Tour W/L	25.00% (3/9)
55.56% (170/136)	Challenger W/L	50.00% (98/98)
70.98% (137/56)	Futures W/L	74.01% (336/118)
59% (412/702)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	67% (431/643)
48% (14/29)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	27% (3/11)
47% (122/260)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	53% (83/157)
49% (118/240)	Deciding Set Win %	57% (85/150)
86% (430/371)	1st Set Won, Won Match	91% (431/391)
13% (430/58)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	9% (431/38)
20% (311/61)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	22% (245/53)